Seattle Continue Push Towards Playoffs

The final match in Major League Soccer this weekend is in the Western Conference between Seattle Sounders and Minnesota United.

Seattle Sounders are the defending MLS Cup champions and are well placed in the Western Conference to qualify for the playoffs again this season.  They also won the Western Conference title last season and a win in this game could push them joint top with Sporting Kansas City.

This is Minnesota United’s first season in the MLS and they became the 22nd club to join the league.  They have found it tough in their first campaign and sit bottom of the Western Conference with 22 points from their 23 games.

However, a win in this one could push them up two places to 9th in the table.

Seattle Sounders Form

Seattle Sounders are unbeaten in their last 6 MLS games and last 7 overall, meaning they come into this match full of confidence.

There have been away wins over Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United plus home victories against DC United, San Jose Earthquakes and last weekend against top of the table Sporting Kansas City.

Sandwiched in-between those victories was a 0-0 draw at LA Galaxy and that means Seattle Sounders have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 MLS games, winning 3 and picking up a point at LA Galaxy.

At home in the MLS, Seattle Sounders have lost just 1 game all season and have won 6 and drawn 1 of their last 7 matches.

Minnesota United Form

It’s been a tough first season in the MLS for Minnesota United and they travel to Seattle having won only 1 of their previous 7 MLS games.  In fact, Minnesota United have won just 3 of their last 14 competitive matches.

Minnesota United’s only victory in their last 7 MLS games was a thumping 4-0 win over DC United, a team who are rooted to the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

Away from home in the MLS has been difficult this season for Minnesota United and they are yet to win a match.  In 9 matches played they have drawn 2 and lost 7, including defeats in their last 4.  They are yet to keep a clean sheet and have managed just 1 goal in their last 3 games on the road.

Team News

Seattle Sounders are looking in good health ahead of this match and are missing just Brad Evans through injury.

Minnesota United have several injury concerns with Bernardo Anor, Thomas de Villardi and Joe Greenspan out plus Marc Burch, Sam Cronin and Christian Ramirez doubtful.

Top Betting Tips

There can only be one winner in this game and that’s the home team, Seattle Sounders.  You can back Seattle Sounders at 5/18 with reading a Ladbrokes review to win the game.

Having kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 home matches and Minnesota United struggling for goals on the road, Seattle Sounders will see this as an opportunity for another shutout.  Seattle Sounders are 13/10 with William Hill to win the match to nil.

These teams met only a few weeks ago and Seattle Sounders won the match 4-0 away from home.  There is every chance this match will finish with a similar score line.  Seattle Sounders to win by 3 goals or more is 7/4 with Betfair.

Premier League Betting Tip

Match Preview

There are two big storylines heading into Sunday’s matchup between Manchester United and Everton at Old Trafford. The first of those is Romelu Lukaku facing off against the club he departed for £80m last summer, but the bigger one is the return of former Manchester United and England captain, Wayne Rooney, to Old Trafford. Rooney departed Manchester United this summer to re-join his boyhood club, Everton, but he should get a rapturous reception at Old Trafford following an illustrious career with the club.

Manchester United

Manchester United surrendered their perfect record in the Premier League last weekend during a 2-2 draw with Stoke City and Jose Mourinho will not have been happy with the defending shown on either goal. The Red Devils returned to winning ways on Tuesday night with a routine 3-0 win over Basel. Romelu Lukaku found the net again in that match to take his tally to 6 in 6, but an injury to Paul Pogba marred the victory. The club record signing limped off in the first half and will miss the next few weeks’ action just when he was starting to find his feet after a difficult season last time out.


Everton struggled badly in their last Premier League game, a 3-0 loss to Tottenham Hotspur and in reality it could have been much worse was it not for a couple of excellent saves from Jordan Pickford. They followed this up with another poor performance against Atalanta in the Europa League on Thursday night on their way to a 3-0 defeat. Ronald Koeman’s side look short of goals in attack, but the Dutchman will be hoping for an inspired performance from Wayne Rooney on his return to Old Trafford. Seamus Coleman and James McCarthy are doubts ahead of the game whilst Ross Barkley, Yannick Bolasie and Ramiro Funes Mori remain on the injury list.

Talking Points

  1. Manchester United are unbeaten in the Premier League this season and have conceded just twice in four matches.
  2. It will be a battle of the former strikers as Romelu Lukaku and Wayne Rooney face off against the clubs they left this summer.
  3. Everton have gone four games without a win and the positivity following their summer transfer business could wear off with another defeat on Sunday.


Both of these sides will have played midweek games in Europe, but the extra two days’ rest that Manchester United will have had could have a big say on the outcome of this game. Manchester United were pretty poor against Stoke City last time out, but if Romelu Lukaku had taken his late chance they still could have won the game. I just don’t see this Everton side having enough in attack to trouble Manchester United, so I’m expecting the Red Devils to pick up a comfortable win here.

Betting Tips (Bet365)

Manchester United start this game as 2/5 favourites, whilst an away win for Everton is priced up at 6/1 and the draw is 15/4. I really don’t see Everton getting anything out of this game and the 6/5 available on Manchester United to win and BTTS NO looks very tempting to me. In terms of goal scorers, Wayne Rooney is 10/1 to open the scoring against his former club but the 4/1 on offer for Romelu Lukaku to score 2 or More looks like a better bet to me. The Belgian has been in superb form so far this season and I fancy him to add to his tally against his former club on Sunday. (Source:

Manchester United to win and BTTS NO – 6/5 (Bet365)

SNG Strategy

They have managed to get up to the bubble of a Sit and Go tournament through fighting. Now if only we could get into the money to come. Even advanced players often have problems with the game during the bubble. Often retire at this point in time, or lose directly after you penetrate into the top 3. What strategy should be chosen to make the leap from the bubble to successfully master the money and thus to prevent the bubble will burst? Fortunately, this problem is relatively easy with the help of simple maths solved.

Tournament Equity

some people find it helps to the respective situation to allocate a certain amount of money. For example, you can specify exactly how much money is coming, if one loses all-in situation, and on the contrary, how much you win if you successfully survive this situation. In order to answer this question, we must not only the number of the invested chips, but also the respective phase of the tournament, into consideration. During the bubble is logically the situation is entirely different than at the beginning of the tournament.

In a tournament you must separate the two different currencies: at the beginning of each player must pay a buy-in (from now on with $ marked) and receives tournament chips (now labelled t). After the tournament, the players then with a certain number of $ rewarded. The course between t and $ depends on the “political situation”, for example Who has how many chips or in which phase the tournament is currently (early phase, bubble phase, the money or the heads-up). At the start of the tournament influenced each elimination of a player of the course to the benefit of the remaining players, although this impact at this point is still not particularly dramatic. During the bubble is the effect on the monetary situation of the player but all the more drastic.

As the exchange is the so-called independent chip model (ICM), a mathematical means that with the help of the size of your stack, both of the stacks of your opponents the probability is calculated that a certain place in the tournament. The ICM model also enables an approximate conversion of the stack size to a concrete financial amount (equity), making the allocation of the prize pool is taken into account. The calculations are, however, relatively complicated, which is why there are several programs in which the invoice is much easier, or even completely for you. Such a program which is free, you can find here.

Caution so that no one is the bubble bursts

we assume that we are in the bubble phase of the tournament. There are 4 players in the race, all have similar stacks of approximately 3375T and the blinds are 100T/200t. The first two players decide to fold and the third goes from the SB All-in with AK and the player in the BB Holding QQ. In this situation it makes sense to call? On the one hand he gets the call additional chips which he has the better cards and the pot already contains 200t. On the other hand we are here in the bubble phase and to lose here would be very painful. To resolve this issue, we turn to the ICM. Posted before the blinds and the cards are dealt, every player has exactly 25% equity of the prize pools – all have the same stack, so each player is a quarter of the money. Suppose there is a $10 SNG for 10 players, the prize pool so $100 value, of which each player is now $25. Should for example Now the server of the casino fall, the respective casino each of the four players to pay this amount. If the player in the BB now decides its maps to fold, are the stacks per 3375T, 3375T, 3575T and 3175t. The equity is as follows: $25.015, $25.015, $approximately 25.94, and $24.03. The first two players have thus gained something to equity. Their situation has improved a little bit because it at this table a player whose stack is smaller than the their. The player in the SB has won 0.94% of equity, due to its successful theft of BB, which of course also means that the player in the BB by 0.97% of its equity.

How does the situation if the player is in the BB calls?

If AK gains, the equity of the player in the BB to zero and it is out of the tournament has been removed. If QQ wins, the stacks per 3375T, 3375T, 6750T and the equity according to our ICM calculator are now $30.833, 38.333 $30.833, $.

The player in the BB has as a consequence the choice to fold and thus its equity to $24.03 to diminish or call. In the case of calls, he has a 57% chance to win and thus its equity to increase to $38.333. In 43% of cases but if he lose and its equity to reduce to zero.

If he decides for the call, it ends in the average with 0.57 times $38.333=$21.85, which is less than $24.03 in the case of the folds. This means that in this situation the mathematically the fold is the right decision. This does not however means that it always is correct QQ to fold if the SB raist, but only if we know that he AK.
SNG logic

based on the previous example will be some deviations clearly in cash games, as well as in MTTs, mostly do not exist. In SNGs these situations are however completely ublig, especially in the Bubble phase. The ideal strategy will depend on the correct use of these special conditions. (Read more)

Although the player with AKdie worse cards as the QQ, he was able to make the situation so that QQ just two bad could choose variants (fold and lose little, or call and lose more). He also has this done, although he was out of position and thus had to act first. This can be with the advantage of the first train in chess compare, it is only in this situation the advantage of the first all-ins.

The other two players have not participating in the game and got a little equity added that if the player with QQ foldet, and a relatively large amount of equity in the event of a call. Of course you can QQ calling and win, which would mean that the stack is doubled, but only increases its equity of $25 to $38.333, i.e. approximately by 50%. The remainder is distributed evenly to all the players in this game are not active. Thus it is not enough just to be the favorite, but it must be a high likelihood of profit have to counteract this effect. In our situation the player had therefore approx. a 63% favorite on the profit to be able to call to justify.
The optimal SNG strategy can be summarised as follows: one should be very tight during the low blinds and then play the aggressive push/fold strategy when the blinds increase. It is therefore optimally to play tight at the beginning because you have to each pot obtained his against players both chips as well as equity decreases. The equity is however to all other players is evenly distributed. It may therefore only the own chips, but in the case of the success of its profit with all parts. This, together with the smaller stacks at the start of the tournament and the enormous importance of the stack is large enough for the push/fold phase, means that in this section of the tournament suited connectors, as well as smaller couples, not very playable. It should be based on greater pairs, aces with good kickers and, depending on the situation, KQ, KJ, QJ desc countersinking. Push/fold will later be extremely effective because of the possibility of a call drops because the enemy now much better cards need to call.

Before we move on to the analysis of different types of bubble advance, we should still have some interesting exceptions to the push/fold strategy under the microscope.
the bubble
with a good preparation you will appear in the Bubble feel like at home.

StopNgo is used if the opponent raist, we are sure that our all-in from the enemy gecallt, and we as the first after the flop. Instead of a simple all-ins before the flop we decide the raise only call then directly after the flop to go all-in. This train works only when we are sure that the opponents before the flop our all-in ensures call. If there is the slightest chance that the opponent foldet, it is better to just to go all-in and thus to avoid a flop.

This train works only when we are sure that the opponents before the flop our all-in ensures call. If there is the slightest chance that the opponent foldet, it is better to just to go all-in and thus to avoid a flop. After the Flop we must necessarily be out of position and therefore as the first action. We try to take advantage of the situation if the opponent is not taken from the Flop, and it does not allow us to call. For example, we can AK in the SB and the opponent 55. It is clear that our all-in after his raise before the flop with safety gecallt. So we decide for the call and the flop comes QT2. On our Push the opponent must then fold, since the flop for him not particularly cheap. Obviously needs a successful StopNGo a weak players as an enemy, but it is not uncommon to see if you are in the online poker at such a hit.
Limp lead in a

similar manner as the StopNGo is the limp lead a train that usually only against weaker players to work. The limp lead is normally kept in an SB against BB situation whereby we used on the SB. Players are often also with weak cards to defend your BB, end however their confrontation if you do not meet the flop. Against such players is the best strategy to raisen preflop before and then after the Flop bet to make a continuation to the pot without much of a fight to win. Should our stack but not big enough for this strategy to be successful, it can only be limpen and then on the flop just one and a half BB. This is often sufficient to win the pot without going through the All-in to risk too much. More on